Pasaulis keičiasi. Šiame straipsnyje Wolfgang Munchau rašo apie Kinijos galią. 2004 metais Kinijos ekonomika buvo kaip Italijos, šiuo metu ji yra antra pasaulyje po JAV.
Atominė energija, greitaeigiai traukiniai ir greitai augantis geležinkelių tinklas, skrydžiai į Kosmosą, industrinė galia ... Įspūdį daro progresas Dirbtinio Intelekto srityje, kur kai kas mano kad Kinija jau yra aplenkusi JAV. Dirbtinis intelektas ima daug elektros energijos, ir Kinija tam pasiruošusi.
Jei Lietuva nori atidaryti Dirbtinio Intelekto inovacijų centrą, ji turės pasirūpinti stabilia, gausia ir pigia elektros energija.
Daug peno mintims ...
Cituoju straipsnį ("Why China will win the arms race: It is streets ahead on AI", Wolfgang Munchau):
"But America also worries that they are leading the charge with AI-powered drones. We think of drones as modern, but those used in the Russia-Ukraine war still need an operator. Imagine, then, if one side had AI-powered drones at their disposal? The West and Nato may be comfortable in their current — swiftly dating — military capabilities. But AI warfare is a completely new game.
And China is already forging ahead in the two areas that will prove critical. The first is the supply of energy — which is vital to power large AI data centres. The West should be concerned by the sheer scale of the expansion of China’s energy capacity. China has a renewable capacity target of 2,461 gigawatts by 2030. The corresponding numbers for the EU and US are respectively 1,100 and 500 gigawatts. For the Chinese, the heavy lifting will come from renewable sources, such as the world’s largest hydropower plant in Tibet, which will have an energy capacity roughly the size of Germany’s capacity today. Just from one single dam. This dam is not even included in China’s target number."
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"China, meanwhile, has more energy than we do, puts serious money into AI, and is not regulating itself to death. Take 5G. While we Europeans struggle with it, the Chinese are already developing 6G — the technology which is needed to handle the communications for next generation manufacturing.
This is the second critical area in which China is excelling: high-tech manufacturing. In the US and the UK, the prevailing view is that sophisticated countries should move into services and leave the shop-floor economy to upstarts like China. This is a story we have been telling ourselves for too long. And it is one that economists, in particular, don’t understand. They think it is more efficient to let China do all the manufacturing, for the US to specialise in high tech and finance, and to let Europe be a museum. They are simultaneously oblivious to those voters who want real jobs, to the nature of 21st-century manufacturing, and to security concerns.
The irony here is that the US understands the AI-service economy like no one else. And it still just about leads the world in research. But China has been able to catch up because all the new technology is open-source. As an anonymous employee at Google candidly admitted: “We have no moat, and neither does OpenAI.” Nor does the US. This is not a world of secret algorithms, or of industrial patents. The costs of entry are low — all you need is a bunch of desktop computers with a good graphics card. Anyone can join in. In the old world, the technology leadership meant that the US was years ahead of the competition. No more."
P.S. geras straipsnis apie Kinijos ir JAV palydovų kovas kosmose
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